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Red95
120820.9
353946.4
23445.0
Blue109
544232.5
203921.4
421338.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12696608014016018020095109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.4
47.246.7
Auto13.4
Teleop24.8
End8.3
red by 7.9
38.50.3
38.939.3
Auto12.0
Teleop17.1
End9.4
Second
234
#8
45.00.4
45.845.3
Auto13.6
Teleop24.7
End6.8
red by 12.6
5442
#24
32.50.3
32.933.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.1
End6.6
Third
1208
#31
20.90.4
21.721.3
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End6.0
blue by 0.5
2039
#21
21.40.4
21.922.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End6.5