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Red100
421338.5
203921.4
544232.5
Blue112
580133.5
465532.2
216931.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions991009095105110115100112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.2
38.738.5
Auto12.0
Teleop17.1
End9.4
red by 5.0
5801
#13
33.50.4
32.532.9
Auto7.3
Teleop16.7
End9.5
Second
5442
#24
32.50.2
32.632.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.1
End6.6
red by 0.3
4655
#17
32.20.4
31.131.6
Auto11.1
Teleop15.1
End5.9
Third
2039
#21
21.40.2
21.621.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End6.5
blue by 9.6
2169
#11
31.00.4
30.030.4
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End6.2