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Red127
233857.1
270424.4
245150.2
Blue154
809647.0
409644.6
348834.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143129050100200250127154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.10.1
58.158.0
Auto13.5
Teleop33.3
End8.1
red by 10.1
8096
#18
47.00.7
46.246.9
Auto15.6
Teleop24.2
End7.4
Second
50.20.1
51.351.1
Auto9.4
Teleop31.4
End8.4
red by 5.6
4096
#16
44.60.7
43.844.5
Auto13.4
Teleop20.0
End10.1
Third
2704
#27
24.40.1
25.425.3
Auto6.0
Teleop12.1
End6.6
blue by 10.0
3488
#15
34.40.7
33.634.3
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End6.5