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Red79
348834.4
414354.6
478713.1
Blue74
465541.1
64819.8
270424.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251000501502007974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#11
54.62.4
63.360.9
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End9.9
red by 13.5
41.11.5
39.938.4
Auto9.3
Teleop25.0
End6.5
Second
3488
#15
34.42.4
34.732.3
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End6.5
red by 10.0
2704
#27
24.41.5
35.734.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.1
End6.6
Third
4787
#30
13.12.4
17.615.1
Auto5.9
Teleop2.0
End5.4
blue by 6.8
648
#20
19.81.5
21.219.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed22%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed62%Activation oddsMissed