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Red136
414354.6
593437.7
465541.1
Blue108
52542.1
409644.6
582219.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143112050200250136108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#11
54.60.3
55.555.9
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End9.9
red by 10.0
4096
#16
44.60.1
43.343.2
Auto13.4
Teleop20.0
End10.1
Second
41.10.3
38.438.7
Auto9.3
Teleop25.0
End6.5
blue by 1.0
525
#14
42.10.1
44.344.2
Auto12.4
Teleop23.4
End6.3
Third
5934
#10
37.70.3
37.437.7
Auto8.3
Teleop23.2
End6.8
red by 18.1
5822
#26
19.60.1
21.921.8
Auto7.7
Teleop7.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsEarned19%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned76%Activation oddsEarned