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Red43
270424.4
335217.8
179232.2
Blue108
220242.1
512523.2
427253.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8113605010015020043108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1792
#21
32.23.0
34.131.1
Auto12.0
Teleop13.7
End6.7
blue by 21.7
53.90.9
53.852.9
Auto14.1
Teleop30.5
End7.6
Second
2704
#27
24.43.0
28.825.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.1
End6.6
blue by 17.7
42.10.9
43.742.8
Auto9.4
Teleop24.7
End8.7
Third
3352
#29
17.83.0
20.117.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End3.9
blue by 5.4
5125
#17
23.20.9
23.522.6
Auto6.9
Teleop12.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
48%Activation oddsMissed90%Activation oddsMissed