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Red101
335217.8
657435.8
7140.8
Blue82
409644.6
179232.2
478713.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104922040608012014016010182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#4
40.80.0
41.041.0
Auto10.1
Teleop23.3
End7.8
blue by 3.8
4096
#16
44.60.7
43.242.4
Auto13.4
Teleop20.0
End10.1
Second
35.80.0
38.038.0
Auto12.8
Teleop15.5
End7.7
red by 3.6
1792
#21
32.20.7
31.130.4
Auto12.0
Teleop13.7
End6.7
Third
3352
#29
17.80.0
17.117.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End3.9
red by 4.7
4787
#30
13.10.7
13.813.1
Auto5.9
Teleop2.0
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned