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Red68
179232.2
806914.4
348834.4
Blue129
414354.6
233857.1
421336.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8318905010015025068129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3488
#15
34.42.0
36.834.7
Auto11.3
Teleop16.9
End6.5
blue by 22.7
57.12.6
65.462.8
Auto13.5
Teleop33.3
End8.1
Second
1792
#21
32.21.8
38.336.5
Auto12.0
Teleop13.7
End6.7
blue by 22.4
4143
#11
54.62.6
65.963.3
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End9.9
Third
8069
#19
14.42.0
15.413.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End6.7
blue by 22.2
4213
#13
36.52.6
39.236.6
Auto12.0
Teleop14.6
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed97%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed97%Activation oddsEarned