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Red96
52542.1
623724.6
96721.7
Blue29
283028.8
335217.8
167522.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111880501001502009629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#14
42.10.3
45.845.5
Auto12.4
Teleop23.4
End6.3
red by 13.3
2830
#28
28.83.8
34.430.6
Auto11.4
Teleop11.3
End5.7
Second
6237
#25
24.60.4
23.923.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End4.5
red by 2.2
1675
#22
22.43.8
27.523.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.8
End4.5
Third
967
#23
21.70.3
31.431.0
Auto8.4
Teleop10.1
End3.4
red by 3.9
3352
#29
17.83.8
23.920.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed