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Quarterfinal pool 2-12023 Boiler Bot Battle
Red116
29240.7
86835.1
999219.2
Blue101
102437.3
82939.5
672127.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86117050100150200250300116101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#12
40.70.6
38.9→39.6
Auto14.7
Teleop19.8
End6.3
red by 1.2
829
#8
39.50.1
39.5→39.4
Auto10.1
Teleop24.0
End5.4
Second
868
#32
35.10.6
33.4→34.0
Auto10.5
Teleop16.0
End8.3
blue by 2.2
1024
#18
37.30.1
37.3→37.2
Auto12.1
Teleop19.7
End5.0
Third
9992
#6
19.21.0
16.3→17.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End6.2
blue by 8.6
6721
#30
27.90.1
27.8→27.7
Auto9.0
Teleop14.2
End5.0