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Red120
518832.2
46159.2
761739.2
Blue79
394041.6
314727.8
29240.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1521355010020012079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#3
59.21.3
58.657.3
Auto14.2
Teleop33.4
End8.9
red by 17.6
3940
#14
41.62.9
45.442.4
Auto10.8
Teleop21.3
End8.7
Second
7617
#13
39.21.3
42.140.8
Auto13.0
Teleop21.1
End5.5
blue by 1.5
292
#12
40.72.9
44.141.2
Auto14.7
Teleop19.8
End6.3
Third
5188
#21
32.21.3
39.037.7
Auto10.7
Teleop14.9
End6.6
red by 4.5
3147
#27
27.82.9
33.330.3
Auto9.2
Teleop13.7
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
77%Sustainability oddsMissed48%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned