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Red89
23440.3
409638.3
540224.7
Blue70
381425.5
4525.3
86835.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191010501508970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#4
40.31.4
41.640.2
Auto12.7
Teleop21.4
End5.3
red by 5.2
868
#32
35.11.7
39.337.7
Auto10.5
Teleop16.0
End8.3
Second
4096
#15
38.31.4
40.438.9
Auto11.4
Teleop17.0
End9.2
red by 12.7
3814
#17
25.51.7
27.425.7
Auto9.2
Teleop11.2
End5.1
Third
5402
#25
24.71.4
28.427.0
Auto6.0
Teleop13.4
End5.4
blue by 0.6
45
#23
25.31.7
28.126.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.8
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
34%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned