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Red77
46159.2
99908.6
874219.3
Blue121
761739.2
745742.6
381425.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9312105015020025077121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#3
59.20.7
57.356.6
Auto14.2
Teleop33.4
End8.9
red by 16.6
42.60.2
42.242.3
Auto10.5
Teleop26.0
End5.5
Second
8742
#16
19.30.7
18.918.2
Auto7.0
Teleop8.0
End5.0
blue by 19.9
7617
#13
39.20.2
40.841.0
Auto13.0
Teleop21.1
End5.5
Third
9990
#26
8.61.1
11.110.0
Auto2.2
Teleop1.2
End5.2
blue by 16.9
3814
#17
25.50.2
25.725.9
Auto9.2
Teleop11.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed41%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsEarned