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Red117
427245.5
348739.5
99908.6
Blue55
4525.3
672127.9
99995.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11656010015020011755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.8
46.045.2
Auto10.1
Teleop26.4
End7.9
red by 17.6
6721
#30
27.90.8
28.627.8
Auto9.0
Teleop14.2
End5.0
Second
39.50.8
43.342.5
Auto10.7
Teleop20.8
End7.9
red by 14.3
45
#23
25.30.8
26.125.3
Auto6.1
Teleop11.8
End7.6
Third
9990
#26
8.61.4
10.08.6
Auto2.2
Teleop1.2
End5.2
red by 3.0
9999
#29
5.61.3
7.46.0
Auto3.4
Teleop0.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsMissed