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Red81
29240.7
86835.1
518832.2
Blue123
164628.0
427245.5
745742.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12212505010015020081123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#12
40.72.1
41.038.9
Auto14.7
Teleop19.8
End6.3
blue by 4.8
45.50.4
45.245.6
Auto10.1
Teleop26.4
End7.9
Second
868
#32
35.12.1
35.433.4
Auto10.5
Teleop16.0
End8.3
blue by 7.5
42.60.4
42.342.8
Auto10.5
Teleop26.0
End5.5
Third
5188
#21
32.22.1
35.633.5
Auto10.7
Teleop14.9
End6.6
red by 4.2
1646
#19
28.00.4
28.929.3
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsMissed74%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsEarned