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Red104
102437.3
809638.9
427245.5
Blue121
348739.5
23440.3
46159.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157156110120130140150170180190104121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.53.1
53.950.8
Auto10.1
Teleop26.4
End7.9
blue by 13.8
461
#3
59.21.8
61.960.1
Auto14.2
Teleop33.4
End8.9
Second
8096
#20
38.93.1
47.043.9
Auto12.6
Teleop20.1
End6.5
blue by 1.4
234
#4
40.31.8
45.043.2
Auto12.7
Teleop21.4
End5.3
Third
1024
#18
37.33.1
46.042.9
Auto12.1
Teleop19.7
End5.0
blue by 2.2
39.51.8
46.845.0
Auto10.7
Teleop20.8
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsMissed91%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsMissed