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Red49
47876.8
695624.7
4525.3
Blue112
999219.2
29240.7
46159.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7112805010015020049112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#23
25.31.3
29.428.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.8
End7.6
blue by 34.0
461
#3
59.21.6
60.158.6
Auto14.2
Teleop33.4
End8.9
Second
6956
#11
24.71.3
27.926.6
Auto6.9
Teleop11.1
End7.1
blue by 16.0
292
#12
40.71.6
45.744.1
Auto14.7
Teleop19.8
End6.3
Third
4787
#31
6.81.3
11.610.2
Auto2.5
Teleop-0.6
End5.3
blue by 12.4
19.22.6
20.618.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned47%Activation oddsEarned