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Red130
745437.5
164635.6
518842.1
Blue129
29251.4
102449.8
695637.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11913680100160180130129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#23
42.10.3
43.943.7
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End8.5
blue by 9.3
292
#9
51.40.1
48.848.7
Auto15.1
Teleop28.0
End7.4
Second
7454
#29
37.50.3
38.338.0
Auto9.6
Teleop19.2
End8.7
blue by 12.3
1024
#21
49.80.1
47.447.3
Auto13.7
Teleop28.4
End7.2
Third
1646
#30
35.60.3
31.731.5
Auto11.7
Teleop18.4
End5.6
blue by 1.6
6956
#17
37.20.1
29.729.7
Auto10.0
Teleop20.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned