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Red140
46161.2
765743.0
86847.2
Blue163
82949.8
32830.9
745761.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15114380100120160180200220140163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#10
61.20.4
58.758.3
Auto14.7
Teleop37.4
End7.5
blue by 0.5
61.61.9
56.558.4
Auto13.7
Teleop39.1
End8.6
Second
868
#15
47.20.4
44.744.3
Auto13.6
Teleop23.7
End9.4
blue by 2.6
829
#12
49.81.9
48.049.9
Auto11.8
Teleop30.9
End6.7
Third
7657
#26
43.00.4
42.742.3
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End7.0
red by 12.1
328
#20
30.91.9
30.632.5
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsEarned75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned