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Red141
695637.2
317644.6
761750.6
Blue127
164635.6
155531.4
501055.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128116050100150200250141127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.61.5
43.645.0
Auto12.7
Teleop29.6
End8.1
blue by 4.8
55.41.1
47.748.8
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End10.8
Second
3176
#19
44.61.5
41.543.0
Auto7.8
Teleop31.1
End5.2
red by 9.0
1646
#30
35.61.1
31.732.8
Auto11.7
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Third
6956
#17
37.21.5
33.835.3
Auto10.0
Teleop20.9
End6.5
red by 5.8
1555
#28
31.41.1
30.831.9
Auto7.2
Teleop15.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsEarned69%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned