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Red151
174143.9
394730.8
102449.8
Blue104
518842.1
672124.2
649841.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13110050150200151104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#21
49.82.1
45.948.0
Auto13.7
Teleop28.4
End7.2
red by 7.7
5188
#23
42.10.4
42.943.3
Auto11.1
Teleop21.9
End8.5
Second
1741
#16
43.92.1
43.245.3
Auto10.9
Teleop25.3
End7.2
red by 2.8
6498
#13
41.10.4
33.033.4
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End6.2
Third
3947
#31
30.82.1
30.132.2
Auto8.2
Teleop16.8
End6.1
red by 6.6
6721
#32
24.20.4
22.022.4
Auto9.3
Teleop12.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsEarned47%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsMissed