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Red140
501055.4
649841.1
745437.5
Blue158
7142.9
86847.2
745761.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12615650100200140158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.41.2
48.850.0
Auto13.1
Teleop31.1
End10.8
blue by 6.2
61.61.0
58.459.4
Auto13.7
Teleop39.1
End8.6
Second
6498
#13
41.11.2
33.434.6
Auto10.9
Teleop23.7
End6.2
blue by 6.2
868
#15
47.21.0
44.345.3
Auto13.6
Teleop23.7
End9.4
Third
7454
#29
37.51.2
40.041.2
Auto9.6
Teleop19.2
End8.7
blue by 5.4
71
#8
42.91.0
40.141.1
Auto10.1
Teleop25.3
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned