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Red60
349452.4
999620.3
999025.2
Blue123
618143.2
999922.5
999722.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8479020406010012014016060123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.42.6
51.048.4
Auto10.9
Teleop31.7
End9.7
red by 9.2
43.21.3
43.945.2
Auto12.3
Teleop21.6
End9.4
Second
9990
#14
25.24.4
24.219.9
Auto11.6
Teleop7.7
End6.0
red by 2.6
9997
#11
22.61.7
24.226.0
Auto9.4
Teleop10.1
End3.0
Third
20.34.4
24.219.9
Auto6.6
Teleop5.1
End8.7
blue by 2.1
9999
#22
22.51.7
24.226.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned