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Red129
82947.8
317642.2
13539.3
Blue139
23453.0
761740.1
150147.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271406080100120160180200129139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#15
47.80.5
43.544.0
Auto12.9
Teleop28.1
End6.7
blue by 5.2
234
#4
53.00.3
46.746.9
Auto15.5
Teleop30.1
End7.1
Second
3176
#11
42.20.5
44.244.7
Auto10.6
Teleop25.4
End5.9
blue by 5.7
47.80.3
41.541.8
Auto13.5
Teleop27.5
End6.5
Third
135
#19
39.30.5
34.234.7
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End5.6
blue by 0.8
7617
#21
40.10.3
44.144.3
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsMissed