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Red119
7137.5
82947.8
172032.2
Blue122
765742.2
150147.8
394729.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100104708090110120130119122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#15
47.81.0
42.543.5
Auto12.9
Teleop28.1
End6.7
blue by 0.1
47.80.7
40.040.7
Auto13.5
Teleop27.5
End6.5
Second
71
#3
37.51.0
25.326.3
Auto9.5
Teleop20.1
End8.0
blue by 4.6
42.20.7
31.031.7
Auto12.4
Teleop23.3
End6.2
Third
1720
#13
32.21.0
26.227.2
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End8.2
red by 2.5
3947
#20
29.70.7
25.826.5
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
13%Sustainability oddsEarned2%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsMissed74%Activation oddsMissed