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Red87
548444.9
217125.2
4537.8
Blue114
349442.3
150147.8
7137.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9412240608014016018087114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.90.3
39.238.9
Auto15.9
Teleop21.2
End7.8
blue by 3.0
47.80.2
42.142.3
Auto13.5
Teleop27.5
End6.5
Second
45
#12
37.80.3
30.029.7
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End8.8
blue by 4.5
3494
#10
42.30.2
37.637.8
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End8.3
Third
2171
#25
25.20.3
22.422.1
Auto8.1
Teleop9.6
End7.5
blue by 12.3
71
#3
37.50.2
30.931.1
Auto9.5
Teleop20.1
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
79%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned