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Red112
672122.1
174139.5
349442.3
Blue119
448529.3
7137.5
394729.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10597406080120140160180112119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3494
#10
42.30.3
39.539.8
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End8.3
red by 4.8
71
#3
37.51.5
34.636.1
Auto9.5
Teleop20.1
End8.0
Second
39.50.3
38.638.9
Auto10.8
Teleop21.3
End7.1
red by 9.8
3947
#20
29.71.5
28.029.5
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End5.9
Third
6721
#22
22.10.3
19.720.0
Auto8.6
Teleop10.3
End3.3
blue by 7.2
4485
#14
29.31.5
29.130.5
Auto10.2
Teleop11.4
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned49%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed68%Activation oddsEarned