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Red102
82947.8
394729.7
4537.8
Blue105
349442.3
672122.1
317642.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106976080120140102105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#15
47.80.1
43.543.5
Auto12.9
Teleop28.1
End6.7
red by 5.4
3494
#10
42.30.9
36.237.0
Auto8.1
Teleop25.8
End8.3
Second
45
#12
37.80.1
28.228.1
Auto9.6
Teleop19.4
End8.8
blue by 4.4
3176
#11
42.20.9
43.344.2
Auto10.6
Teleop25.4
End5.9
Third
3947
#20
29.70.1
26.526.4
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End5.9
red by 7.6
6721
#22
22.10.9
12.313.2
Auto8.6
Teleop10.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
11%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsMissed