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Red112
548444.9
150147.8
856421.8
Blue90
44733.0
13539.3
174139.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108107809010012013014011290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.8
40.741.5
Auto13.5
Teleop27.5
End6.5
red by 8.4
39.50.8
37.937.0
Auto10.8
Teleop21.3
End7.1
Second
44.90.8
38.339.2
Auto15.9
Teleop21.2
End7.8
red by 5.6
135
#19
39.30.8
35.034.2
Auto11.5
Teleop22.1
End5.6
Third
8564
#26
21.80.8
20.521.3
Auto6.9
Teleop7.9
End6.9
blue by 11.2
447
#17
33.00.8
29.829.0
Auto9.4
Teleop17.0
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsMissed