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Red107
672112.3
394045.4
46140.9
Blue105
155517.8
91036.7
102439.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10698406080120140160180107105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.2
45.245.4
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End10.6
red by 6.3
39.20.3
38.939.2
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End4.4
Second
461
#12
40.90.2
40.740.9
Auto10.2
Teleop24.2
End6.6
red by 4.2
910
#2
36.70.3
36.436.7
Auto10.4
Teleop19.2
End7.2
Third
6721
#22
12.30.2
12.112.3
Auto7.6
Teleop1.6
End3.0
blue by 5.5
1555
#20
17.80.3
17.517.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End6.0