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Red55
7125.3
4532.6
810315.6
Blue79
314725.1
150140.0
348738.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628120401001205579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#10
32.60.6
25.124.5
Auto7.2
Teleop16.4
End9.1
blue by 7.4
40.00.5
27.126.5
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End8.2
Second
71
#9
25.30.6
19.919.3
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End8.6
blue by 13.4
38.70.5
22.922.4
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End8.5
Third
8103
#26
15.60.6
15.514.9
Auto3.3
Teleop8.1
End4.3
blue by 9.5
3147
#11
25.10.5
23.923.4
Auto8.8
Teleop11.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned