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Red109
7125.3
920829.9
394045.4
Blue57
4532.6
86833.7
155517.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7670405060809010011010957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.44.3
31.736.0
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End10.6
red by 11.8
868
#8
33.71.0
25.824.8
Auto13.1
Teleop10.6
End10.0
Second
9208
#14
29.94.3
19.523.8
Auto9.9
Teleop17.4
End2.6
blue by 2.7
45
#10
32.61.0
24.523.4
Auto7.2
Teleop16.4
End9.1
Third
71
#9
25.34.3
19.323.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End8.6
red by 7.5
1555
#20
17.81.0
16.015.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned