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Red78
290914.9
102439.2
907111.8
Blue56
314725.1
91198.7
219722.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66602040801007856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.7
34.034.8
Auto12.0
Teleop22.8
End4.4
red by 14.1
3147
#11
25.11.2
24.423.2
Auto8.8
Teleop11.2
End5.1
Second
2909
#17
14.90.7
15.616.4
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End3.8
blue by 7.3
2197
#15
22.21.2
23.221.9
Auto7.9
Teleop5.6
End8.7
Third
9071
#31
11.80.7
11.612.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End3.3
red by 3.1
9119
#32
8.71.2
9.68.4
Auto2.2
Teleop5.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
29%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsMissed