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Red72
4532.6
32823.8
672112.3
Blue65
17477.6
492618.8
86833.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6668204060801001207265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45
#10
32.61.1
27.328.4
Auto7.2
Teleop16.4
End9.1
blue by 1.1
868
#8
33.70.4
25.425.0
Auto13.1
Teleop10.6
End10.0
Second
328
#18
23.81.1
20.421.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.8
End7.8
red by 5.0
4926
#27
18.80.4
19.619.2
Auto8.2
Teleop6.9
End3.7
Third
6721
#22
12.31.1
14.615.7
Auto7.6
Teleop1.6
End3.0
red by 4.6
1747
#33
7.60.4
18.718.3
Auto0.8
Teleop1.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsEarned