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Red67
86833.7
540223.2
91198.7
Blue27
672112.3
17477.6
7125.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6464304050607080906727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#8
33.70.8
25.025.8
Auto13.1
Teleop10.6
End10.0
red by 8.4
71
#9
25.34.3
26.322.1
Auto6.0
Teleop10.6
End8.6
Second
5402
#16
23.20.8
26.026.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End6.6
red by 10.9
6721
#22
12.34.3
15.711.4
Auto7.6
Teleop1.6
End3.0
Third
9119
#32
8.70.8
8.89.6
Auto2.2
Teleop5.5
End1.1
red by 1.1
1747
#33
7.64.3
18.314.0
Auto0.8
Teleop1.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed77%Activation oddsMissed