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Red82
155517.8
810315.6
91036.7
Blue76
393622.8
290914.9
101826.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73670204060801001201408276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#2
36.71.0
32.033.0
Auto10.4
Teleop19.2
End7.2
red by 10.2
1018
#21
26.51.4
26.227.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.3
End6.8
Second
1555
#20
17.81.0
18.219.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End6.0
blue by 5.0
3936
#23
22.81.4
17.318.7
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End3.2
Third
8103
#26
15.61.0
17.818.8
Auto3.3
Teleop8.1
End4.3
red by 0.7
2909
#17
14.91.4
19.821.2
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsMissed