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Red107
394045.4
498217.3
548429.5
Blue112
86232.7
810315.6
317647.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89103406080120140160107112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.42.1
42.544.6
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End10.6
blue by 2.0
47.41.2
42.843.9
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End6.0
Second
5484
#24
29.52.1
27.129.2
Auto9.9
Teleop14.2
End5.5
blue by 3.2
862
#5
32.71.2
34.835.9
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End8.5
Third
4982
#28
17.32.1
15.317.5
Auto2.7
Teleop9.6
End5.0
red by 1.7
8103
#26
15.61.2
17.318.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned