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Red101
219722.2
348738.7
101826.5
Blue106
540223.2
91036.7
548429.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90966080100120140101106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.71.0
38.739.7
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End8.5
red by 2.0
910
#2
36.71.1
35.336.4
Auto10.4
Teleop19.2
End7.2
Second
1018
#21
26.51.0
25.226.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.3
End6.8
blue by 3.1
5484
#24
29.51.1
29.230.3
Auto9.9
Teleop14.2
End5.5
Third
2197
#15
22.21.0
21.322.3
Auto7.9
Teleop5.6
End8.7
blue by 1.0
5402
#16
23.21.1
24.425.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned48%Activation oddsEarned