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Red72
13527.0
920829.9
907111.8
Blue109
101826.5
317647.4
540223.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5666020408010012014016072109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9208
#14
29.90.7
18.819.5
Auto9.9
Teleop17.4
End2.6
blue by 17.6
3176
#6DQ
47.44.3
24.729.0
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End6.0
Second
135
#13
27.00.7
22.323.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.1
End5.3
red by 0.5
1018
#21
26.54.3
17.421.6
Auto5.4
Teleop14.3
End6.8
Third
9071
#31
11.80.7
12.713.4
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End3.3
blue by 11.3
5402
#16
23.24.3
18.622.9
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed34%Activation oddsEarned