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Red77
286720.5
46140.9
393622.8
Blue90
747711.7
394045.4
290914.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67685055606570758085907790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#12
40.91.6
26.027.6
Auto10.2
Teleop24.2
End6.6
blue by 4.5
45.41.0
30.731.7
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End10.6
Second
3936
#23
22.81.6
16.017.6
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End3.2
red by 7.9
2909
#17
14.91.0
15.816.8
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End3.8
Third
2867
#25
20.51.6
20.822.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.2
End5.6
red by 8.8
7477
#29
11.71.0
17.118.2
Auto2.4
Teleop3.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsMissed50%Activation oddsEarned