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Red95
86833.7
348738.7
393622.8
Blue82
86232.7
13527.0
540223.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105852040601201401609582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.0
39.039.0
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End8.5
red by 6.0
862
#5
32.70.1
32.532.4
Auto9.0
Teleop15.2
End8.5
Second
868
#8
33.70.0
34.034.0
Auto13.1
Teleop10.6
End10.0
red by 6.7
135
#13
27.00.1
26.826.7
Auto7.6
Teleop14.1
End5.3
Third
3936
#23
22.80.0
23.123.0
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End3.2
blue by 0.4
5402
#16
23.20.1
23.022.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.3
End6.6