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Red107
86833.7
348738.7
393622.8
Blue130
317647.4
150140.0
695621.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9811950150200107130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.70.2
38.638.7
Auto13.1
Teleop17.0
End8.5
blue by 8.7
47.40.2
47.647.9
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End6.0
Second
868
#8
33.70.2
33.533.7
Auto13.1
Teleop10.6
End10.0
blue by 6.3
40.00.2
40.240.4
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End8.2
Third
3936
#23
22.80.2
22.622.8
Auto7.5
Teleop12.0
End3.2
red by 1.4
6956
#19
21.30.2
21.521.8
Auto7.9
Teleop9.1
End4.3