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Red67
811623.8
349434.9
745739.4
Blue41
164616.8
765731.0
394725.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886302040801001201406741

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.41.4
31.530.1
Auto10.7
Teleop20.1
End8.7
red by 8.4
7657
#11
31.02.4
23.220.8
Auto6.4
Teleop17.5
End7.1
Second
34.91.4
24.923.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End8.4
red by 9.1
3947
#14
25.82.4
19.717.3
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End6.0
Third
8116
#21
23.81.4
23.121.7
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End4.5
red by 7.0
1646
#25
16.82.4
19.517.1
Auto7.0
Teleop5.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
64%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsMissed