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Red75
29241.7
811623.8
856421.2
Blue101
765731.0
761745.2
745424.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83815060709010011012075101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#13
41.71.3
33.031.7
Auto11.6
Teleop23.8
End6.3
blue by 3.5
45.21.6
33.434.9
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End8.7
Second
8116
#21
23.81.3
21.720.4
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End4.5
blue by 7.1
7657
#11
31.01.6
20.822.4
Auto6.4
Teleop17.5
End7.1
Third
8564
#22
21.21.3
22.020.7
Auto6.4
Teleop9.3
End5.4
blue by 2.9
7454
#16
24.01.6
22.824.4
Auto8.0
Teleop6.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsMissed61%Activation oddsEarned