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Red45
217121.4
164616.8
172018.6
Blue71
811623.8
649831.3
874218.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626540507080904571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2171
#17DQ
21.41.5
17.516.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End7.6
blue by 9.8
31.30.1
21.421.2
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End6.1
Second
1720
#24
18.61.5
24.022.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End5.0
blue by 5.2
8116
#21
23.80.1
20.420.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End4.5
Third
1646
#25
16.81.5
17.015.5
Auto7.0
Teleop5.2
End4.7
blue by 1.8
8742
#23
18.70.1
18.518.3
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsMissed