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Red84
501038.5
874218.7
394725.8
Blue107
811623.8
86845.1
427242.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80109406010012014016018084107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#12
38.50.6
34.934.3
Auto9.2
Teleop22.5
End6.8
blue by 6.6
868
#1
45.10.6
44.144.6
Auto13.8
Teleop21.9
End9.4
Second
3947
#14
25.80.5
23.122.5
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End6.0
blue by 16.8
42.60.9
34.135.0
Auto12.4
Teleop23.9
End6.4
Third
8742
#23
18.70.5
21.120.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End5.8
blue by 5.2
8116
#21
23.80.9
20.421.4
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsEarned