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Red100
501038.5
765731.0
355917.1
Blue69
874218.7
389012.2
86845.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8582406010012014010069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5010
#12
38.52.1
34.336.4
Auto9.2
Teleop22.5
End6.8
blue by 6.6
868
#1
45.11.2
44.643.4
Auto13.8
Teleop21.9
End9.4
Second
7657
#11
31.02.0
30.632.5
Auto6.4
Teleop17.5
End7.1
red by 12.3
8742
#23
18.71.8
20.518.8
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End5.8
Third
3559
#15
17.12.0
14.916.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.9
End6.1
red by 4.9
3890
#28
12.21.8
12.010.3
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned