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Red85
389012.2
649831.3
174123.7
Blue121
811623.8
394725.8
518832.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57840204010012014085121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.32.0
27.929.9
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End6.1
blue by 1.0
5188
#10
32.30.8
29.129.9
Auto9.7
Teleop15.8
End6.8
Second
1741
#19
23.72.0
19.021.0
Auto7.7
Teleop10.6
End5.4
blue by 2.1
3947
#14
25.80.8
24.825.6
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End6.0
Third
3890
#28
12.22.0
10.312.3
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End3.8
blue by 11.6
8116
#21
23.80.8
21.422.2
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed59%Activation oddsEarned