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Red45
458013.5
355917.1
649831.3
Blue83
394725.8
29241.7
389012.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638520401001201404583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.31.4
29.928.5
Auto9.5
Teleop15.7
End6.1
blue by 10.4
292
#13
41.70.5
39.439.9
Auto11.6
Teleop23.8
End6.3
Second
3559
#15
17.11.4
18.216.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.9
End6.1
blue by 8.7
3947
#14
25.80.5
25.626.0
Auto9.8
Teleop10.0
End6.0
Third
4580
#26
13.51.5
13.912.4
Auto4.2
Teleop3.4
End5.9
red by 1.3
3890
#28
12.20.5
12.312.8
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
56%Activation oddsMissed59%Activation oddsMissed