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Red139
427242.6
23435.6
349434.9
Blue116
82935.5
811623.8
501038.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118946080140160180200139116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.62.3
40.743.0
Auto12.4
Teleop23.9
End6.4
red by 4.1
5010
#12
38.52.0
36.338.3
Auto9.2
Teleop22.5
End6.8
Second
234
#5
35.62.6
33.736.2
Auto11.2
Teleop17.6
End6.8
red by 0.1
829
#6
35.51.8
32.734.6
Auto12.6
Teleop14.4
End8.5
Third
34.92.3
33.235.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End8.4
red by 11.0
8116
#21
23.82.0
22.324.3
Auto6.7
Teleop12.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsEarned